🏀 NBA Prediction Market Analytics

Find the edge before
tip-off

Hoop Call analyzes injuries, recent form, matchups, and live order flow to surface undervalued NBA markets on Kalshi — before the game starts.

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Free tier available · No credit card required to start
Today's Edge Report — Sample
Boston Celtics UNDERVALUED +6¢
Miami Heat OVERVALUED −4¢
Denver Nuggets UNDERVALUED +3¢
Phoenix Suns FAIR
Edge = fair value vs Kalshi ask · Updated every 2 hours
How it works
From data to decision in seconds
No setup required. Open the app, see today's games, and know exactly where the market is mispriced.
1

We pull the data

Injuries, recent form, head-to-head history, team stats, Vegas lines, and Kalshi order flow — all fetched automatically every 2 hours.

2

Model computes fair value

14 factors are weighted to produce an adjusted win probability. That becomes a fair-value price in cents.

3

Edge is surfaced

When fair value diverges from the Kalshi ask by more than 4¢, the market is flagged UNDERVALUED or OVERVALUED with a Kelly-sized recommendation.

4

You make the call

Live game monitoring tracks how the market moves in real time as the game progresses. You decide when to act.

Features
Everything you need to trade smarter
📊

Pre-game Reports

Full analysis for every NBA game — fair value, edge size, Kelly sizing, and AI reasoning updated before tip-off.

⚡

Live Game Tracking

Real-time score, win probability bars, quarter-by-quarter breakdown, and live Kelly sizing as the game unfolds.

🩺

Injury Impact Analysis

PPG-weighted injury scoring with fill-in player identification. Know which absences actually move the needle.

📈

Order Flow Signals

Price drift since last session, buy vs sell pressure at the top of book, and 24-hour volume momentum.

🎯

Kelly Sizing

Fractional Kelly recommendations calibrated to your edge. No guesswork on position sizing.

📁

Historical Archive

Browse past reports to review predictions and build intuition for which signals matter most.

Pricing
Simple, transparent pricing
Start free, upgrade when you're ready. Cancel anytime.
Starter
$0/mo
Free forever
  • Today's game summaries
  • Edge verdicts (UNDER / FAIR / OVER)
  • Market price overview
  • Full pre-game reports
  • Live game tracking
  • Kelly sizing
  • Order flow signals
Get started
Most popular
Pro
$9/mo
Billed monthly
  • Everything in Starter
  • Full pre-game analysis reports
  • Live game tracking
  • Kelly sizing recommendations
  • Order flow signals
  • Injury impact scoring
  • Score projections
  • Historical archive
Get started
Cancel anytime
Sharp
$19/mo
Billed monthly
  • Everything in Pro
  • Email alerts for 3¢+ edges
Get started
Cancel anytime
FAQ
Common questions
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is a regulated US prediction market exchange where you can trade contracts on real-world outcomes — including who wins each NBA game. Contracts pay out $1 if your prediction is correct.
How accurate is the model?
The model synthesizes 14 data factors including injuries, recent form, head-to-head history, and Vegas consensus odds. Like any model it isn't perfect, but it surfaces systematic mispricing rather than gut feel. Track record data will be published as it accumulates.
How often are reports updated?
Pre-game reports are auto-generated every 2 hours throughout the day. Live game data refreshes on demand via the Live tab.
Is this financial advice?
No. Hoop Call is an analytical tool. All trading decisions are yours. Never risk money you can't afford to lose.
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